Fear and Greed Index is a multifactorial indicator for
cryptocurrency sentiment analysis, which considers the most critical
parameters that determine the psychology of the market to give a
result that defines the level of fear or greed in the market.
Fear and greed index values range from 0% (extreme fear) to 100%
(extreme greed). The values are:
0
- 19: EXTREME FEAR
20
- 39: FEAR
40
- 59: NEUTRAL
60
- 79: GREED
80
- 100: EXTREME GREED
The Price Score indicator is a relevant indicator to analyze
and assign the price evolution a certain numerical value.
This module studies the price trend in order to determine in
a range from -1 to 1 if the market has a bearish or
bullish trend.
The main trend defines one part of the general
sentiment of the market, and is a factor of weight when
analyzing a chart. A pronounced and long-lasting positive
trend generates a greater feeling of greed. In the
same way, when the trend is negative, a greater feeling of
fear is generated, regardless of other factors.
Price Volatility is also another important indicator and the
biggest trigger for market sentiment. To measure it, we use values
​​between 0 and 1 that determine the degree of current
price fluctuation for the desired time frame.
Higher volatility implies a riskier market, which further
polarizes bullish and bearish sentiments. An increase
in volatility implies greater greed in a bull market,
but also greater fear in a bear market.
Like volatility, the Volume is a determining factor.
An increase in the volume implies a greater negotiation in
the market, which is caused by an increase in the movements caused
by an interest, which is synonymous with great
sentiment. A strong volume determines a strong level of
greed in bull markets, but also a strong level of panic in bear
markets.
Like volatility, it is also calculated with a range between 0 and
1.
The Impulse indicator measures the current price
strength compared to previous values ​​to determine in a
range from -1 to 1 how it is affecting the market sentiment.
Impulse has a huge impact on sentiment, as on a psychological level
we tend to place more importance on the latest price move.
The strength of this shows price inclination that can be more
or less pronounced and determines the polarity. A strong
bullish impulse in a market implies a greater feeling of
greed, in the same way that a strong bearish impulse
generates a greater feeling of fear or panic.
It is proven that technical analyzes themselves influence
market sentiment, especially those that are more popular.
The technical analysis indicator analyzes for the 26 most
popular stock market indicators and subdivides them into
2 main categories that differentiate them in their type of
trend indicator or oscillator. Subsequently, each one
of them is averaged and assigned a certain weight based on the
popularity of each one. These results fairly accurately
reflect the impact generated by these charts on market
analysts.
Social media sentiment analysis is one of the main factors
determining crypto market sentiment.
This is done through an algorithm that analyzes the
popularity of each cryptocurrency at a given time, based on
the voting system of one of the largest platforms in the
crypto world, to establish a social sentiment index.
This other indicator takes into account the dominance of with
respect to the general market. When it gets greedy, altcoin
investments greatly increase and the total market capitalization
increases, which also decreases dominance. The same thing happens
when the market panics but in reverse. For this reason, both
the token capitalization and the total market capitalization are
calculated.
But there is also a correlation between the dominance of and
the dominance of the main altcoins, so the indicator calculates
different values ​​for each cryptocurrency.
Trends is another factor that determines the sentiment of a
particular market. We analyze the search volume on major
search engines like Google.
The lookup indicator looks at the current value and compares it to
previous values ​​to determine what particular interest there
is. For this, specific search terms are used that determine
the purchasing or ceding interest of the token, thus
excluding general terms that only define popularity without
demonstrating negativity or possibility.
One of the analyzes that can determine the cryptocurrency market is
the movement of whales.
CFGI analyzes the movements of superlative amounts made by
large investors in two ways, first it analyzes large movements
from wallets to exchanges of tokens and compares them with
the large movements of stable coins that are also made from
wallets to exchanges to estimate the proportion of purchase and
sale to be made.
A high ratio of token movements to stablecoins indicates a
strong selling intent which means a greed market, while a
higher ratio of stablecoins movements indicates a stronger
buying intent and fear market.
Another great predictor of sentiment through a quantitative source
are the order books. Crypto Fear and Greed Index analyzes the
order book for the token on a popular exchange to determine
the buying and selling pressure that contiguous orders exert
on the price. In such a way that you can know the buying and selling
pressure that the orders which are going to be executed will
exert.
Stronger buying pressure than selling pressure close to price
is a clear indication of bearish sentiment, as there are more
buy orders within equal distance to the price. While stronger
selling pressure above price indicates a bullish
sentiment, because there are more sells to execute than buys
at the same distance.
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